At the center of a fiasco at Polymarket about Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s attire is a potentially existential crisis: Is the prediction market really a “source of truth?”
Great read! Wrote a personal post-mortum about it as well. I think it'd be curious to look at differences in price in identical contracts between Kalshi and Polymarket in the future to see if there is some sort of "rug-pull" risk premia that arises in Polymarket.
Great read! Wrote a personal post-mortum about it as well. I think it'd be curious to look at differences in price in identical contracts between Kalshi and Polymarket in the future to see if there is some sort of "rug-pull" risk premia that arises in Polymarket.
Would appreciate any thoughts on the post!
https://substack.com/@deblob1/p-168122026
It's a good post, you should write more! Writing things like this that are understandable to normies is a good skill.
the big question I have is anything actually changes because of all of this, or if it's business as usual